Kenya Talks

I have been told their has been a change of mission, the KDF are now humanitarian workers providing relief after telling their opponents they were taking the high road. By turning the other cheek, the KDF now is involved in providing vital assistance to thousand sof somali refugees. Besides air bombings of terrorist training camps along the border, nothing concrete has been reported.

Somebody should make a comedy about this.

They really have no options. First they have sealed off the ocean so fishermen are starving; secondly they have blockade the kismayu port; so somali civilians (including NEP) who get their stuff through that port are basically stuck; those who sell charcoal; can't.

Basically KDF cannot finish off Al shabaab without finishing off Somalis.

Al-shabaab taxes charcoal..they don't have armies of charcoal makers in forests.
Al-shabaab taxes port charges..they don't have ships and truck doing business there.
Al-shabaab taxes food/cows/donkeys...bla bla.

Will the WFP/NGOS/USAID rush in to supply food?
NOT until their security is assured.

Maybe they should give food to US army...who will then distribute?
But that is not just how UN/USAID operates....what if the army sells the food or divert it?

In end kenya gov has to give DOD some billions to buy rice, wheat and such supplies for Somalis...somalis don't eat yellow maize...
something our kenyans cannot afford in christmas.

Talk of feeding and securing two nations. That only way to win the hearts of somali civilians. To provide at least what Al shabaab was providing.

What would likely happen is that the war should spread to the somali province in Kenya, and a cycle of heavy handed response by the Kenyan government and more deadlier attacks will ensue. The somali mission would destablize kenya more than it would bring any sense of order inside Somalia.

That exactly what i fear will happen. NEP somali weren't the happiest lot before this war. Their fortunes aren't so much different from their cousins.Year in year out they depend on emergency feeding to eke out a living. They very much depend on Al shaabab's controlled southern somali for supplies...it far cheaper to smuggle goods than legally import it from mombasa. The army are going to terrorize local residents whenever al shabaab manages to send some of their soldiers...and slowly and slowly NEP will become shifta region..it will be back to 1994...where you will need armed escort everywhere. The border remain porous. There is no way of telling somali kenyan and somali alshaabab..except blanket profiling.

The only good thing...politicians and elites from NEP are supportive of war...they want Ogaden/Azania in Somali.

Barbarosa wrote:What would likely happen is that the war should spread to the somali province in Kenya, and a cycle of heavy handed response by the Kenyan government and more deadlier attacks will ensue. The somali mission would destablize kenya more than it would bring any sense of order inside Somalia.